Showing posts with label Success. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Success. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Development Clashes in India

The Guardian on Polio: "If in India as a whole there are no more confirmed cases before 13 January, the country will have completed its first year without a new victim." That would leave only three countries where polio is endemic: Nigeria, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. IUPDATE: The Gates Foundation twitter feed informs me that it has taken two million volunteers' time each year to accomplish this. Misunderstandings and religious tension - including the War on Terror - have been heavily involved in why it has taken so long in India:
Equally important in overcoming the last bastions of the disease, as in many parts of the world, has been the consent of local religious figures.
Over the past decade one of the biggest obstacles to polio eradication in India, as in Pakistan and Nigeria, has been the resistance of poor, largely illiterate Muslim communities such as those in and around Moradabad.
Even as the first campaigns got underway in the area in the late 1990s, local clerics began telling congregations that the vaccinations were part of a government plan, backed by the west, to make Muslim women infertile. ...
Torabi said that he had attended immunisation clinics in clerical robes to show "that a common Muslim man is able to trust the programme".
He added: "I told them that in nowhere in the Qur'an is it written that we should be unhealthy, or not take care of our hygiene and that if tomorrow our children are suffering from polio then they will not be able to do the prayers properly. Slowly they understood my point."
NPR has details on a conflict between a South Korean steel company -- that has agreed to purchase a large amount of government land to build a steel mill, electric plant, and a port, all while providing training and jobs locally -- and a number of locals whose land is also being taken from them as part of the deal.

Meanwhile, the Economist reports on the private construction of roads and other infrastructure in India, which started out quite optimistic but is now showing signs of overly high debt and other financial distress:
Over the next five years it predicts that infrastructure investment will reach a new high relative to GDP, with some $1 trillion spent, half of it by the private sector. The trouble with this rosy prediction is that the balance-sheets of many Indian infrastructure firms are as potholed as the roads they resurface.
They argue first that firms need more equity, not more debt. Fair enough. The second argument, however, is that the government needs to untangle some of the business transactions. This is an incredibly dangerous suggestion overall. Government's job is to set the rules so that companies act in open, transparent ways, not to wade in and make business decisions. That is an open invitation to corruption and rent-seeking.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

The most amazing people in aid

  1. The guy who changed his domestic ways to become a loving, caring husband after having been exposed once at a road-crossing to a billboard that said: "Stop GBV Now! (HRI with support from Country South of Canada)";
  2. The Donor representative who, every month, reads every one of the 76 reports they receive from relevant HRI affiliates and therefore has a very clear idea of what each affiliate is doing and where they need most support;
  3. The inhabitant of the village in "Africa" whose life has changed to the better once she received a slightly used pair of shoes from a mythical place South of Canada;
  4. The government employee who has successfully made the transition from a cynical, underpaid, mis-qualified relative-of-someone-important to a dynamic, modern element of change in the government, after having interacted with a HRI "Technical Advisor" during a capacity building workshop;
  5. The guy who returned part of his per-diem after a trip to Nairobi, claiming that the three meals and tea offered during the training were quite sufficient for his subsistence; 
More celebrated individuals at Hand Relief

Less sardonically, Aid Watch had a more serious paper praising and shaming various bilateral aid organizations. Water Wellness also celebrates a community where the impossible dream of proper water project maintenance is happening.

Friday, April 22, 2011

Post-liberation governance, aid effectiveness, and a less dismal science

On the difficulty of running a post-liberation government, with applications to Rwanda, Uganda, and South Sudan: 
the central challenge for power holders is often not economic, but political. Former rebels continue to use the informal mechanisms that suited them so well when conspiring outside government. Power consequently resides in a shadow state, characterised by the personal and reciprocal arrangements which developed in the struggle. … though optimists point to economic progress, the reality is one of intense intra-elite competition with incredible violent potential, as has been witnessed in all three countries in the past and as might soon occur again in Rwanda and South Sudan.
Last month’s violence in South Sudan between rebel groups and the government.   
“Satellite images released by US pressure group the Enough Project, appear to back up claims of troop reinforcements and northern ‘fortified encampments inside Abyei.’ … With the referendum over, [former peace] deals [between southern groups] are now falling apart as groups jockey for power.”
The ‘consensus’ still seems to be that outright war is unlikely, that enough people want to avoid it … but they don’t yet have the trust and social capital to make it a nonissue.

The Africa News Blog cynically posits that the lessons to be learned from Gbago’s fall are not the ones we might wish: don’t hold elections unless you know you’ll win, don’t let the news get out if they don’t, and do your election rigging well in advance (prevent opposition from getting out their voice) rather than trying to stuff ballot boxes.

How effective is aid in Madagascar? Aid doubled between 2008 and 2010 with few noticeable results.

How effective is aid in Haiti? Well, people would rather stay in the tent cities where conditions are much better thanks to the aid. Is that a good thing or a bad thing? It’s just a good thing we don’t have to actually talk to poor people to find out how to do this kind of work (/sarc)

Over lunch two weeks ago, I wondered at the fact that media don’t run more positive stories about Africa like the successful, peaceful, free, and fair elections that happened recently. After all, since the West expects bad news, reporting more bad news is just “dog bites man,” it’s not news. When things go right, why don’t we see more news announcements “Something Goes Right in Africa.” … Might make an interesting blog title, that. 

One answer to why not is because, among the people who have information about the continent, it’s in very few people’s interest to widely spread good news. Another name for it is the Tragedy of the Commons in Selling Tragedy by Kenny, who has a book out trumpeting development successes: Remember Tolstoy’s maxim: “happy families are all alike; every unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.” From its introduction, Kenny writes that
the proportion of the population of sub-Saharan Africa affected by famine averaged less than three-tenths of a percent. The proportion who were refugees in 2005 was five-tenths of a percent. The number who died in wars between 1965 and 2001 averaged one one-hundredth of a percent.
For instance, on the plus side the Somali government prevented the trafficking of a pair of endangered lion cubs. See, occasionally the news in Africa really is about lions!

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Lit in Review: HIV/AIDS

De Walque reports in third person on his own research:
The pervasive if unstated belief in the HIV/AIDS community is that males are primarily responsible for spreading the infection among married and cohabiting couples.... most couples affected by HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa live in ... relationships in which only one of the two partners is HIV-positive while the other one is HIV-negative.
Contrary to assumption, however, it is not the case that the HIV-positive partner is most often the male. In fact, a new study found that women were just as likely to be the HIV-positive partner. An earlier study had placed the figure closer to 30-40%. When the same is restricted to women who have been in one relationship for 10 years (reducing the chance of her bringing HIV with her into the union), the proportion is still roughly 1 in 3. Though I don't agree when de Walque calls this "just as likely" I would agree that it calls the basic assumption into question and supports better research into the channels by which AIDS spreads. Ignoring one apparently significant channel by assuming it does not exist not only prevents progress, it serves to further the victimization of women.

Topping this off is another paper (Leclerc et al, 2009) that tried to fit Zambian HIV infection data with epidemiological models and demonstrated just how difficult a task it is to model: "Our reference simulation (H0) was obtained after more than one hundred simulation trials, all the others leading to inconsistent patterns." They find that "the lifetime risk of infection is quite similar for both sexes, and women tend to be infected earlier." "Among the main constraints found in the simulation was the age at peak infection for males. It was almost impossible to reach values greater than 35 or 36 years for men while keeping the main parameters within a range of realistic values."

Another paper, also by de Walque and colleagues, shows that HIV households in Mozambique were not affected more than non-HIV households by the 2007/08 food crisis, perhaps thanks to increased health interventions that increased their labor force participation.

Meanwhile, there is actually good news from Zimbabwe: HIV infection rates halved between 1997 and 2007.
The study cites increased awareness of AIDS-related deaths as the primary cause of the drop. The Leclarc study also reports a drop (or at least a slowing) in infection rates in Zambia since 2001.

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Big Bag of Thursday

On democracy in poor countries (and on the election in Ivory Coast whose results are still delayed): "In the bad old days of post-colonial Africa, dictators would hail their landslide re-elections as a demonstration of the will of an adoring people while international observers would dismiss the polls as electoral farce. In the brave new Africa, it is often the other way round." That is, internationalists hail re-elections as free and fair while the people murmur that it was not. The article argues that this is because it is harder to rig elections now and the international political economy favors smooth transitions and playing nice.

The US Senate passed the food safety bill. This article, recommended by M. Nestle, covers the differences between the House and Senate version that need to be hashed out.

Aid Watch's headline: "WHO: 20 to 40 percent of money spent on health wasted, more funds needed to be wasted."

The aid skeptics' Thanksgiving:
  • For the largest reduction in world poverty in human history, which has already happened in our generation.
  • For the largest improvement in health and life expectancy in human history, which has already happened in our generation.
  • For all those who contributed to these successes: whether individuals operating in private, social, nonprofit, charitable, civic, public, aid, or international realms.
  • For all those who helped themselves and those around them escape poverty through their own efforts.
Improving the efficiency of the bribe market may actually be good for the economy. That is, making bribe prices more transparent/widely-known reduces transaction costs for bribery, which in turn reduces bribe sizes.

A chef preparing to head to a job at an elite hotel instead stays in his home town in India to provide three nutritious, freshly cooked meals to around 400 of the poorest people in the area.

National Geographic's annual photo contest - many of the results on Big Picture.

Blindfolded humans walk and drive in circles. Hunh?

Friday, October 8, 2010

Big Bag o Latin American Links

The Millennium Challenge Corporation celebrated a completed contract with Honduras
“on-time, on-budget, and with all targets met” despite a political crisis and three different governments during the duration of the compact.  With numerous infrastructure projects completed and over 6000 farmers trained, the compact targeted development in rural areas and worked as a transformational tool to put in place systems that will continue to benefit the Honduran poor after the close of the compact.
 The application of the Coase theory to water management in Ecuador.Rights have been awarded the upstream water users with downstream users paying them to keep it clean and preserve forestry along the water's edge.

Growing tension in Haiti over land rights - tent dwellers have been in tents for quite some time now and the generous folks giving them the land for it are getting tired. They'd like people to move on so they can make sure their land stays theirs. But where do the displaced people then go? Higher education is similarly suffering a heavy burden from the earthquake, and it's pretty low on most donors' lists. And, by the by, here is a picture of the Haiti/DR border demonstrating (once again) the lack of trees. Most were cut down during the 1991-94 military dictatorship/embargo/inflation/everything else that could go wrong.

I have continued my tradition of picking up one of the works of the year's latest literature Nobel winner, which this time around is Mario Vargas Llosa, a Peruvian politician and libertarian. The War of the End of the World sounds like it should be quite engaging - inequality and poverty, development, state vs. individual, and it opens with a mysterious religious man with fire in his eyes.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Successes: Good news on MDGs

The CGD wonders what would happen if we actually focused on good news instead of disaster.  What good news, you ask? Try out this:

CGD reports that "since 1990 Mali has more than quadrupled the percentage of kids finishing school, Ethiopia’s maternal mortality rate has plunged by 40 percent, and the ratio of Burkinabe with access to safe water has more than doubled to 72 percent".

Roving Bandit cheers Samaliland's development: "not content with democratic elections and biometric passports, [Somalilan]d is also likely to become the first nation to become a cashless society, due to expansion in mobile money transfers and retail payments."

Africa Can... celebrates progress made in Kenya and "the related much broader findings of the new book Emerging Africa: How 17 Countries Are Leading the Way by Steven Radelet, who demonstrates that the experiences of sub-Saharan African countries have been diverse and that many countries in the region have experienced steady economic growth, improved governance, and decreased poverty since the mid-1990s."

And Save the Children [HT: PNB] shows us that any amount of good news, however good, can still be manipulated into looking really bad: "Cambodia has seen a 32 percent drop in child mortality figures among the country’s "richest 20 percent", but only an 18 percent reduction in child mortality among the "poorest 20 percent"."  Only 18 percent? Happy day! 18 percent reductions are great news.

They are happier with
Indonesia, the region’s giant where 16 percent of its 225 million people live below the poverty line, [which] has recorded "equitable progress," noted the 37-page report. The poorest 20 percent has seen child mortality figures drop by 29 percent, while the richest 20 percent has witnessed a nine percent decline. ... Singapore, has been singled out in a study by ‘The Lancet’, a British medical journal, as leading all countries in the world in child mortality rates, having reduced it by 75 percent since 1990.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Forgive me, father, for I have been cynical

Or, rather, I'm about to be. Y'see, a new IFPRI study finds that Bolsa Familia - Brazil's conditional cash transfer program - does good things. Normally I jump up and down and blow my vuvuzuela* at such happy news. For once I'm a little doubtful.

What did they find? Infants were getting their vaccinations, children were enrolling and staying in school longer, and mothers got more prenatal doctor visits.

This is good. This is great. I'm happy. Really.

The idea behind the CCT is "you do x, y, and z and we'll give you money." Lo and behold, we find that people are willing to do x, y, and z for money. ... And what have we learned that we didn't know?

Now if we find, five years after the program stops, that the steady-state level of vaccinations, school enrollments, and prenatal visits is still higher than before the program, I will be impressed. If we find, however, that monetary incentives have replaced social norms instead of creating new ones, and all these things drop relative to the baseline if the money is withdrawn, I will be very worried.



* - They're doing some renovations a few doors down and all day long it has been like being in the center section of the World Cup around here. They finally stopped but my ears are still ringing.

Successes: Social Entrepreneurship - Water pumps in Africa

           
A portable water pump is crediting itself with help 500,000 Africans lift themselves out of poverty.
"I went over to Africa as a socialist, and after about five or six years of hitting my head against the wall, became a small "c" capitalist," Fisher [the developer] said.

Hat tip: Poverty News Blog.

Friday, July 30, 2010

Successes: Ghana's Community-Based Rural Development Project

Ghana's Community-Based Rural Development Project has been in place for six years now with a specific mandate to work on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). It was set up as part of Ghana's Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP). What has it done?
  • Build infrastructure: "With the construction of five dams, one dugout, 188 feeder roads [1125 km], 20 market structures and 12 slaughterhouses in rural communities across the country, many otherwise disillusioned rural folk can now make something meaningful out of life. ... on-going projects on two wind pumps, eight dams, two dugouts, irrigation facilities, 214 feeder roads, 45 market structures and 15 slaughterhouses, which are expected to bridge the urban-rural development gap." "Most of these are now about 70 percent complete" with another 100km of roads being procured. "Roads that used to be impassable for an average of 173 days now have the duration reduced to 14 days. Communities that had access to only three vehicles on market days now see up to ten vehicles after the roads were improved." "The Construction of slaughterhouses has also provided hygienic and sanitary environment for handling and storage of meat, thus promoting good healthy conditions for the people."
  • Capacity building in local government: "provided training for all 138 district assemblies and 454 selected district councils in decentralisation policy and regulations, procurement, financial management, planning, and monitoring and evaluation. ... Also, the entire accounting system for the district assemblies has been reformed"
  • Capacity building in private sector: "1,606 trainees have acquired various valuable vocational skills from the Learning Centres found in various parts of the country. Out of these, 1,209 beneficiaries have been given funds to start their own businesses. Nine hundred and fifty-seven (950) of them have actually set up and are doing very well. ... This has resulted in increased employment opportunities with increased income levels and rural livelihood as a whole."
More info here and here. So how are we measuring success?

1 - Not by inputs. Wonderful. Huzzah.
2 - Not by economic growth, poverty reduction, employment, or any of the MDG yardsticks, though there is some attention to increased incomes as a result.
3 - Output of "intermediary" inputs to development.
4 - Not by efficiency of the production of "intermediary" inputs.

The good thing about this is that they are measuring the direct outputs which are readily measurable and accountable. We built these countable roads; we trained these countable people; we gave finance to these countable businesses. It's clear. It's transparent. It's readily measurable and people can verify it.

If the only thing we care about is rural economic growth, this is a problem. It may be reasonably supposed that these inputs produce economic growth, but it's not assured. Given that improved training of government workers only affects growth through improved governance and the governance-growth link is not the most robust empirical finding in the literature, proving that CBRDP has produced growth  to the satisfaction of a reasonably critical audience would be fairly difficult.

But we may care about these inputs in and of themselves. More roads may make life easier and happier even if we can't statistically provide that it produces income. Training government and business leaders can have positive impacts for years down the road. What do we mean by development?

The other issue this doesn't address is if it might have been possible to accomplish the same goals using fewer resources. Is there a private sector or non-profit organization that could have accomplished more, faster, or cheaper? That's another important question, but it shouldn't overshadow the progress that has been made.

Meanwhile, Easterly concludes that Ghana's tourist areas are well set up for the hardier traveling stock, but they probably shouldn't aim for creating another Cancun.

Friday, July 23, 2010

Successes: Disaster Response in Indonesia

From Tales in the Hood:
By the time Haiti was but a few hours old on CNN, the rest of the world had forgotten about Padang. And Manila, Kompong Thom, Savannakhet, Quang Nam, and southern Taiwan… All of those places slammed by Typhoons and small tsunamis and earthquakes last fall. ...

I’m also impressed with how well the overall response has gone. Not that everything in Padang is fabulous. But amazing progress has been made in the nine or so months since the earthquake.
Good coordination, straightforward response by the right agencies, lack of celebrities, shortage of well-meaning interveners, no peanut gallery or politicians to play for ... just professionals helping people.
No, the Padang earthquake response ran the old-fashioned way: professional aid organizations, whether international, local or governmental, planned and then implemented a straightforward emergency response. They figured out what the earthquake survivors needed by asking them, and then got them that – not something like the thing that they wanted, not something altogether different but that could, with some imagination, be used in place of what they needed… No, simply got them what they needed in the most direct and efficient manner possible.
And you can tell. The people I talked to today were happy about how things had gone and were going, the terrible disaster of last September notwithstanding. They expressed hope.

That’s the way you do emergency response.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

WB on Africa's successes

The World Bank's Kenyan report is out. It cheers that Kenya's economy is recovering from the global recession. They expect growth of about 4 percent this year and nearly 5 percent next year. However, they are concerned that growth is not more widespread throughout economic sectors (mostly non-tradable services) and they really want investments to be made to improve Mombasa's port which slows trade.

The Bank also cheers successes from government getting out of the way:
The best example is Ghana’s cocoa sector, which was destroyed by the hyperinflation and overvalued exchange rate in the early 1980s. When the exchange rate regime was liberalized and the economy stabilized, cocoa exports boomed (and continue to grow). Similar examples include Rwanda’s coffee sector and Kenya’s fertilizer use. Africa’s mobile phone revolution, too, is an example of the government’s stepping out of the way—in this case by deregulating the telecommunications sector—and letting the private sector jump in.
Getting involved where it needed to:
The example of Mali’s mangoes is a beautiful illustration of how, when governments intervene to provide genuine public goods—and only those goods—the private sector can spur growth and poverty reduction. In Lesotho’s textile industry and Rwanda’s gorilla tourism case, too, the government stepped in to provide just the enabling factors for take off.
And giving "smart" subsidies:
In the case of NERICA (New Rice for Africa) or the KickStart pump, the government went beyond providing an initial subsidy. They continuously consulted with farmers about the design of the new technology (in the case of NERICA) and how to market it (in the case of KickStart). They were able to avoid the fate of other subsidy programs that simply provided the subsidy without paying any attention to the beneficiaries’ knowledge or preferences.
I find it interesting that both the market and the government are cheered throughout while also discussing the failures of each. "In fact, what distinguishes these successes from similar efforts that didn't succeed is that they emerged from a domestic consensus or idea within the countries."

Monday, May 17, 2010

Successes: Nutrition in Bolivia, LDS

The April Ensign reports on LDS (Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, also known as Mormons) development assistance efforts in Bolivia. From the description in the article, the church is following a lot of best practices.

"Project leaders worked closely with local government and community leaders to decide together what needs the Church could meet and to involve the community more heavily in the projects. ... Since the funding for the programs lasts only for a limited time, the Church involved local ... leaders, physicians, health officials, and residents in hopes that the results would last."

Local leaders in El Alto identified four primary needs two years ago: remodel the hospital, train people in gardening and nutrition, train doctors in neonatal resuscitation and provide supplies for it, and wheelchairs. So the Church arranged for training of another 150 midwives in neonatal resuscitation, provided supplies for the hospital and thousands of wheelchairs, used churches for nutrition training meetings, and taught urban dwellers about square foot gardening and provided some start up seeds. Initial recipients then spread the knowledge and some seeds to neighbors who have spread the information yet further. They are also teaching urban gardening in La Paz and raising micro-livestock.

Community leaders in Suriquiña wanted to reduce malnutrition from 50 percent of children to 10 percent. At Church buildings, members of the community were taught how to build adobe block greenhouses with a goal to have each participating household set up two greenhouses: one for own consumption and one for products to sell. Now, "for the first time, [they] started growing and eating cucumbers, lettuce, beets and other healthful plants." By next year, there should be about 100 greenhouses up and some children are already showing marked improvement.

"One of our goals is to help people set their own course and solve their own problems. We're confident that with a little bit of help where needed and inspiration from the Lord, they can and will improve conditions for their families."

The Benson Institute was heavily involved in the efforts. They commented that, "The majority of the people eat only meat products and potatoes, and they really don't have any other types of foods such as vegetables, which are needed for them to receive vitamins." So they have also been teaching residents how to eat prepare and eat vegetables safely.

Residents in and out of the church are commenting on their children's improved health and abilities at school.

Additional information on the communities and efforts can be found here. Other LDS efforts worldwide include a new, free employment website with over 250,000 job listings at the moment and reports of LDS efforts and perspective in Haiti can be found here and here.

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Moments of Goodness - DRC



Out in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Rachel was having a bad day and enjoying feeling sorry for herself at the airport (her words: "totally content wallowing in my own complete misery"). Then one of her shoes broke - a happy addition to her mood. Then came the problem:




"a woman who works here ran after me, stopped me, and gave me – GAVE ME – her shoes. Asked nothing in return. I hugged her and she laughed."

:?)

Please supply your own moral as needed.

Friday, March 26, 2010

Successes: Education for Nomadic Pastoralists


How do you provide education to a people of livestock herders who move with the rains in Kenya? Mobile schools. It takes a dedicated teacher, though. Hassan Farah, the interviewee, has not been paid in months. How long can that be maintained? There are many other questions to be asked before really labeling it a Success, but it at least passes one of Easterly's first tests: most of the community likes it.

Hat tip: Poverty News Blog.

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Five Second ... White Man's Burden

It is easy for people to misread Easterly's views. I'm not certain why, other than that people don't read him carefully. In White Man's Burden [the Click to Look Inside link on the picture doesn't work, so click the title here to look inside], he opens by introducing that there are two problems: one is the suffering of the poor, the other is the historic inability of the West to solve the problems. In particular, despite spending $2,300,000,000,000 on foreign aid over the last 50 years, that we are still unable to get twelve cent medicines to the people who need them most. His work focuses on the second problem.

He does not in the entire book argue that we should spend less trying to help the poor. He argues that we are trying to help in ways that are largely ineffective. "I ... keep trying, not to abandon aid to the poor, but to make sure it reaches them." "Western assistance ... can still play some role in alleviating the sufferings of the poor."

He does not argue that aid can never be effective. He argues that the way we have gone about it has often been ineffective and proposes some ways to help it be more effective. He cites Botswana as an example of aid "supporting reform and good government," though detailing how abysmally it has failed to do the same elsewhere; he cites pages and pages of World Bank, WHO, and IMF programs that were successful.

He does not claim that we should give up trying to help people. He pleads that we change the question from How can I use foreign aid to solve every problem in the world to "What can foreign aid do for poor people" and then do it. "Aid agencies cannot end world poverty, but they can do many useful things to meet the desparate needs of the poor and give them new opportunities."

He does not provide a blueprint for how to solve every problem with aid. He does suggest several dimensions where significant progress could be made by experimentation in making aid more effective. They include:

Accountability and Specialization "The utopian agenda has led to collective responsibility for multiple goals for each agency, one of the worst incentive systems invented since mankind started walking upright.... Have individual accountability for individual tasks. Let aid agencies sepcialize in the sectors and countries they are best at helping. Then hold aid agencies accountable for their results by having truly independent evaluation of their efforts." "Not overall sweeping evaluations of a whole nationwide development program, but specific and continuous evaluation of particular interventions."

Feedback and Meaningful Participation from Recipients. "The needs of the rich get met because the rich give feedback to political and economic Searchers, and they can hold the Searchers accountable for following through with specific actions. The needs of the poor don't get met because the poor have little money or political power with which to make their needs known and they cannot hold anyone accountable to meet those needs." The jargon is already there, but he takes down Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers as one set of planners talking to another set of planners, often written by the recipient government at the dictation of the donors, sometimes even undermining democratic processes and selections. "Visibility gives more power to Searchers while invisibility shifts power to Planners. The problem with aid is that the poor are mostly invisible." "Participation should mean more buying and voting power in the hands of the poor in aid."

Fund Maintenance. "Aid donors should just bite the bullet and permanently fund road maintenance, textbooks, drugs for clinics, and other operating costs of development projects. Politically dysfunctional governments that don't do maintenance can concentrate on other things. ... The return on spending on instructional materials in education is up to fourteen times higher than the return on spending on physical facilities." p. 190

On Peacekeeping: "Peacekeeping could be good, but just who is willing to be accountable for its success or failure. ... Interventionism suffers from the patronizing assumption that only the West can keep the locals from killing eah other. ... Peace usually succeeds war because of a decisive victory by one side, not because of negotiated settlements by outsiders. ... UN interventions produced a stable peace only a quarter of the time. With no intervention, a stable peace resulted nearly half the time." He is overall quite negative on military interventionism.

One thing that I have admired about Easterly is that he is willing to admit that he was wrong. He does so at least twice in the book, once discussing market reform "shock therapy" and once in discussing structural adjustment. I asked him at his blog whether some of his own work fell under a criticism he had just made, and he admitted that one of the papers I mentioned fell into the same category. He promised a bit more of a response which I'm still waiting for, but there's something comforting in talking with someone you know is willing to say "I was wrong." In the book he opined that the military would be the least responsive to criticism, but on his blog has noted with surprise that the military responded the most cordially and promisingly of any group he has criticized.

One of my few criticisms is that he simultaneously calls for more observability while deriding current aid projects for overly focusing on observability without differentiating what should be observable. That is, he wants to trim down the number of goals any agency is responsible for, so it is more observable who does what, but he laments incentives that support building facilities or roads because they are more visible than textbooks or maintenance.

After presenting a fairly convincing case that Planning really doesn't work, I also noted with some irony that there was a heavy element of planning involved in the homegrown development cases he lauds at the end of the book. He acknowledges some of this, that "the success stories follow a variety of formulas," but prefers to call South Korea and Japan's actions intervening in economies rather than planning and to note that China and Singapore are "quite far from a laissez-faire model." "What we do know ... is that the West played small part in them." This leaves open a door for domestic planning to be good and foreign planning to be bad, a door I think he could do a much better job turning into a window or a peephole.

"Success attracts paternity claims." So every theory of development claims success for the various successes. When Sachs visited Cornell, for instance, he laughed at Easterly's assertion that aid hasn't done much and cited the total figure of aid given to China and India. Easterly notes that those large sums only amount to $0.001 per day for each Chinese person and $0.005 for each Indian person. Compare that to the much larger sums spent in Africa (which Sachs calls a mere $0.50 per person) and you wonder how so little could do so much while so much does so little.

Some very good 'side note' sections: The importance of social networks (p. 82-87), property rights (p. 90-99), the difficulties of making democracy work and its evolution (p. 116-129), comparing the cost effectiveness of health initiaives (HIV prevention, AIDS treatment, and others; p. 249-258). He also has some excellent snapshots of World Bank publications from the 1950s or 1980s to today, all saying the exact same thing: things are bad, but there are promising signs out there. I learned that it is much easier for me to be sanguine when reading about the colonial disasters of England, France, and Portugal than to read about the (usually CIA-backed) disasters the US sponsored (270-338).

Notable Quotables after the break:

Monday, March 15, 2010

When Kenya saved DC

The capital of the sole superpower is deluged with snow, and to whom does its local newspaper turn to help dig out? Kenya.
Aid Watch reports the Times commenting on the Post.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Scaling up Successes: Millennium Villages Edition

It's wonderful to hear about some of what goes on in the Millennium Villages, like the example in this article by Gettleman, while there are other reasons for concern about 1) dependency, paternalism, and lack of voice mentioned briefly here, 2) scalability, and 3) lack of rigorous evaluation. Gettleman discusses the latter problems in "Shower of Aid Brings Flood of Progress"
Agricultural yields have doubled; child mortality has dropped by 30 percent; school attendance has shot up and so have test scores, putting one local school second in the area, when it used to be ranked 17th; and cellphone ownership (a telltale sign of prosperity in rural Africa) has increased fourfold. ...

“I used to think, African killer bees, no way,” said Judith Onyango, one of the new honey makers. But now, she added, with visible pride, “I’m an apiarist.”...

The other day, a community health team in Sauri stooped through the doorway of a home of several sick children, said hello to Grandma and got to work. Within minutes, a health worker had pricked a child, sent a text message with the blood results by cellphone to a computer server overseen by a man named Dixon in a town about an hour away and gotten back these instructions: “Child 81665 OKOTH Patrick m/16m has MALARIA. Please provide 1 tab of Coartem (Act) twice a day for three days.”

These small miracles are happening every day now in Sauri, population 65,000. But the question for Mr. Sachs and his team remains: Is this progress, in development-speak, scalable? In other words, is there a way to take a place like this one and magnify the results by 1,000 times or 10,000 times and wipe out poverty across the developing world?
...

Mr. Easterly and others have criticized Mr. Sachs as not paying enough attention to bigger-picture issues like governance and corruption, which have stymied some of the best-intentioned and best-financed aid projects.

He said, “Sachs is essentially trying to create an island of success in a sea of failure, and maybe he’s done that, but it doesn’t address the sea of failure.”

For example, one can easily picture what would happen in Kenya, where corruption is essentially a national pastime, if there were a free, donor-supported fertilizer program for the entire nation. The fertilizer would very likely never reach its intended target and would disappear like the national grain reserves that were plundered during a famine in 2008, or the billions of dollars of foreign aid that have ended up in the pockets of Kenyan politicians, according to numerous reports by human rights groups and financial auditors.
Update: A lot of the more knowledgeable bloggers have mentioned that Gettleman is on the list of people whose depictions of life tend to the highly stereotypical (same list with Kristal). The line about corruption being a national pastime has drawn particular fire and ire.

Hat tip: Poverty News Blog

Monday, March 1, 2010

Links on health and nutrition

Improving water sources and getting people to use chlorine is harder than you might think. The .Plan quotes a gated source I can't follow on how attempts to clean the water at the source in Busia [Kenya or Uganda?? It's a line-straddling town] failed because the containers used to transport it and the utensils at home were contaminated. They handed out chlorine packets, but very few people used them. Finally they have tried putting a dispenser in a central location which has two main benefits that seem to be improving things: 1) it reduces the cost of the intervention greatly; 2) it's creating a social norm - as people observe others using it, they are more likely to. Water quality appears to be up. A success for now.

Salt and appetite: The research on the effects of salt on our health may be less clear cut than we have been led to believe. The NY Times article mentions that salt consumption hasn't increased substantively with incomes over 20-30 years despite the higher salt content of food. The article also lists many failed health interventions that seem to keep making us fatter. Best quote: "I’m just guided by a personal rule: Never bet against the expansion of Americans’ waistlines, especially not when public health experts get involved." Another hat tip for: The .Plan.

On why third party food safety audits are never enough: Barf Blog, whose motto and definition of food safety is "food that doesn't make you barf." Consumers like 3rd party audits and claim to be willing to pay up to 30 percent more for the reassurance. Actual purchasing decisions show a much lower valuation for them and there are enough cases where the third party is either not real or where announced inspections are gamed to make their value much lower. Best quote: “The contributions of third-party audits to food safety is the same as the contribution of mail-order diploma mills to education.” An apt analogy. The blog also has a video demonstrating what food safety inspectors look for every 6 months and several articles on attempts to make restaurant food safety knowledge more widespread.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Successes: Private Education in Africa

The assumption among education and aid professionals has been that these private schools for the poor can't possibly be any good, that they're exploiting the poor. There is finally a long study of them now by James Tooley, and the results are very encouraging. Laura Freschi at Aid Watch reports:

Parents living in abject poverty were willing to pay between $1.50 and $7 per month to send their children to private schools even when public ones were available. The places varied pretty widely: India, Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, and China. Why?
Most reasons that the parents gave for their choice had to do with what the World Bank calls the “short route” to accountability (as opposed to the “long route” which works through the political process). Because school owners’ profits and reputations in the community depend directly on whether parents are happy with their children’s schooling, they paid attention to parents’ complaints. Because teachers in private schools can be fired, they were less likely to be late, idle or absent. ...

Not that the private schools were perfect—far from it: many of the schools Tooley visited were tucked away in poorly lit, dilapidated, smelly buildings without toilets, and teachers there did lack government training certificates, and were paid less than in the public system. But Tooley found that in low-cost private schools, across the board, classroom sizes were smaller, and teachers were much more likely to be found teaching during an unannounced visit. They are also achieving better results: the students in private schools outperformed their public school peers in nearly every subject they were tested in.